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Students having difficulty predicting their chances of acceptance to college


Thursday, December 20, 2012
High school seniors preparing for college may examine the admission rates of prospective schools for insight into their chances of successfully gaining admission to a particular school. However, according to a recent report, college admission rates are becoming increasingly difficult to accurately predict for both students and universities.

Growing uncertainty
The National Association for College Admission Counseling (NACAC) recently published a report on college admission trends at schools across the U.S. Key findings of the study indicate that colleges are less likely to accurately predict student enrollment trends than they were 10 years ago. This stems, in part, from the increased number of students applying to multiple colleges.

Data in the report suggests that the number of applications submitted to colleges across the country rose sharply during the past decade. Simultaneously, the average yield rate - the number of accepted students who subsequently enroll - declined significantly from 49 percent in 2002 to 38 percent last year. It appears that in attempt to increase their chances of attending college, students apply to schools that they have little interest in attending but receive letters of acceptance. For college admissions officials, decreasing yield rates present challenges in accurately predicting how many students are likely to enroll, leading to heightened uncertainty among prospective applicants.

Fierce competition
Other highlights of the report indicate that not only is the college admissions process becoming more uncertain, it is also becoming increasingly competitive.

Total enrollment at colleges and universities across the country grew by 37 percent between 2000 and 2010. Enrollment is expected to increase by an additional 14 percent by 2021. Despite this, overall admission rates are decreasing, making it even more challenging for students to gain admission to popular schools.

Due to the substantial increase in overall college enrollment, prospective students must do everything they can to maximize their chances of acceptance. The report suggests that academic performance in college prep courses is seen by most schools as considerably important during the college admissions process. In fact, 80 percent of colleges indicated that academic performance and college readiness were the most important factors in a student's likelihood of admission.

Analysis of high school transcripts from 2009 revealed that today's students are taking more credits, completing more challenging curricula and achieving higher GPAs than cohorts of previous years. This fact emphasizes the need for college-bound students to work as hard as they can to ensure they gain acceptance to their dream school.ADNFCR-16000756-ID-800930571-ADNFCR

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